美联储下周将加息75点，并“试图走钢丝”以降低通胀

With upcoming FOMC meeting next week, economists believe Fed will continue its path to have a 75 points interest hike to confront the high inflation.  Recent CPI is 9% which is the highest in a decade. Now it is a global joint effort to tame the inflation, a week ago Canada surprisingly raised 1% of its interest rate and Europe also increase the rate by 50 points in first time since 2010.

Some analysts estimated 1% increase but we believe it will be 0.75% hike as a mild resolution to further crash the inflation. In June the commodities prices are rolling over and are declining now, e.g. crude oil, wheat and metals. However it will be a long journey to bring down the inflation to 2% as Fed's initial target. To prevent the hard crash, Fed is walking through a tight rope and expect a soft landing to avoid the potential recession and crisis. A interesting example is in June the Fed bought roughly $3 billion treasures and reduce liquidity by just $7.5 billion instead of its intial plan of $47 billion liquidty withdraw from the bonds market.

随着下周即将召开的联邦公开市场委员会会议，经济学家认为美联储将继续加息 75 个百分点以应对高通胀。近期CPI为9%，为十年来最高。现在是全球共同努力抑制通胀，一周前加拿大出人意料地提高了1%的利率，欧洲也自2010年以来首次加息50个百分点。

一些分析师估计增长 1%，但我们认为这将是 0.75% 的增长，作为进一步打击通胀的温和解决方案。 6 月大宗商品价格翻滚，现在正在下降，例如原油、小麦和金属。然而，将通胀率降至 2% 作为美联储的初始目标将是一段漫长的旅程。为了防止硬崩盘，美联储正在走紧绳索，并期待软着陆以避免潜在的衰退和危机。一个有趣的例子是，美联储在 6 月购买了大约 30 亿美元的资产，仅减少了 75 亿美元的流动性，而不是其最初计划从债券市场撤出 470 亿美元的流动性。